Categories

## Class Opener – Day 12 – How Big is Big?

We’re coming to the end of our first unit of the year on basic probability, and headed towards the fun world of counting principles, including permutations, combinations and the binomial theorem.  To review ideas regaring factorial and size, students were faced with the following question on the board:

Many students ignored the exclamation point right off the bat, giving replies like “it’s a little bigger than 51”, or “pretty big”, until a student realized that I clearly meant factorial here.  This genrated classroom discussion about what factorial meant, and some side discussion about how big a number this could be, including some calculator experimentation. We’re off to a good start!

But just HOW big is this number?  To get students thinking, I asked them to consider what a quantity that big could represent, being as creative (within reason) as they like. Some of the responses were awesome fun.  Did you know Kanye had THAT much swag?

To finish this opener, I played one of my favorite clips: from the British panel show QI, Steven Fry uses a simple deck of cards to do something never before done by man! I’ve dicsussed this clip on the blog in the past, so visit there for more info regarding this card shuffling experiment.  Enjoy.

Categories

## Shuffle Up and Deal, and Deal, and Deal….

Take a look at the video below, where Stephen Fry, host of the British panel show QI, alleges to do something never done before:

EDIT:  Seems as though the YouTube folk removed the video clip.  Try this link instead, and let’s hope it lasts:

QI Card Shuffling Clip

What a great “hook” for a probability or counting principles unit. Some thoughts about how to use this in your class.

1.  The result given in the video can be expressed as



If we were to shuffle the cards once every second, with each arrangement occurring once, how long would it take for use to go through every possible arrangement?  A neat example of something “big”, which is accessible and easy to discuss.

2.  The online poker site PokerStars is celebrating it’s 10th anniversary, and is offering a prize to the players who participate in their 100 billionth hand (assumed to occur around the 10th anniversary).  At this rate, how long should it take PokerStars to go through all possible arrangements?

3.  As an extension, challenge your class to find the number of possible arrangements of a deck of Pinochle cards.  The main differences with a Pincohle deck are that there are only 48 cards, and each card (like the 9 of diamonds) appears twice in the deck.  This problem introduce the idea of permutations with duplicate items.  In this case, we start with 48!, but then must divide out the double-count which occur with the repeat items.  We divide by two for each instance of a repeat item, and the number of permutations is given by:



4.  Let’s evaluate Mr. Fry’s conjecture:

Were you to imagine if every star in our galaxy had a trillion planets, each with a trillion people living on them, and each of these people had a trillion packs of cards, and somehow they managed to shuffle them all a thousand times a second and they had been doing that since the Big Bang, they would just now begin to repeat shuffles

To summarize, we are looking at this many shuffles per second:



Dividing by the number of possible shuffles yields:



The number of seconds in each year is given by:



Which implies we would have to shuffle for this many years: