Categories
Statistics Technology

A Bowl of PASTA with Stats Friends

Today I attended the winter meeting for one of my favorite organizations: PASTA, the Philadelphia Area Statistics Teachers Association.  This group meets a few times a year to discuss best practices in statistics education, and includes a number of AP teachers, many of whom are AP exam readers.  As always, lots of interesting ideas today:

Joel Evans, from my home school, spoke on his first attempts to “flip” his AP Statistics class.  Based on feedback from his students, Joel realized that Powerpoints often dominate his classroom culture.  By flipping, Joel hoped to have students review material before class, then use class time to practice and discuss.   Follow Joel’s flipping story in the slides below.

It is always a pleasure to have Daren Starnes at our meetings.  Daren, one of the co-authors of the ubiquitous The Practice of Statistics textbooks, joins our group often to discuss his ideas for teaching statistics.  Today, Daren shared a presentation, “50 Shades of Independence”.

Daren asked us to think about all of the places where we encounter “independence” in AP Statistics:

  • probability of independent events
  • independent trials
  • independent random variables
  • independent observations
  • independent samples
  • independent categorical variables (chi-squared)

Man, that’s a lot of independence!

Which items from the list above deal with summarizing data?  Which are needed for inference?  How are they related?  How do we help our students understand the varied, and often misunderstood, meanings of independence.

Daren has a knack for leading conversations which invite participants to express and discuss their math beliefs. Daren   Many of the arguments concerning independence, according to Daren, are “overblown”, in that teaching them in a cursory manner often causes us to lose focus on the big picture. That’s not to say that we should discard them, but that, when teaching inference, we should have students focus on items which would cause a hypothesis test to be “dead wrong” if we didn’t mention them, i.e. randomness, justifying normality conditions.

penniesRuth Carver continued the presentations with some new tech twists on a lesson used by many stats teachers: analyzing sampling distributions by looking at the age of pennies.  A population graph of the ages of 1000 pennies hangs proudly in Ruth’s classroom.

After agreeing that the population is clearly skewed right, we move to the main event – drawing random samples from the population and analyzing the data we get from repeated samples of the same size.  Ruth has developed a lesson for the TI Nspire which generates the samples, and challenges students to think about the behavior of the sampling distributions, now considering the effects of sample size.  Ruth’s presentation allows students to experience and express the differences between:

  • Standard deviation of a population
  • Sample standard deviation
  • Standard deviation of a sampling distribution

Ruth

Great job Ruth!  Looking forward to more PASTA with my stats friends!

Categories
Algebra Middle School Statistics

Ring in the New Year with Fun Classroom Lessons!

Now is a good time to reflect upon the past year, and think about all of the professional growth I have made through the people whose ideas I have shared and experienced through the twitter-sphere and blog-o-sphere (are these actual words?), and to send thanks from all of the new math friends I have made.  I took a look back at all of my posts from the previous year, and here are 5 great activities you can use tomorrow is your classroom.  Share them, adapt them, expand upon them…it’s all good.  Just pay it forward and share your best works, or leave a comment /contact me and let me know if you use them!  Enjoy.

Conic Sections Drawing Project – this was the most popular post of the year.  For algebra 2 or pre-calc, this project just got better with the Desmos online calculator, which is my favorite new tool of the past year.

Tapping Into the Addition of Bubble Wrap – bubble wrap, iPads, and slope meet for a fun exploration.   Look at rate of change through student-produced data.

Tall Tales for Probability – Featuring the poker chip drawing game, and examples from the Amazing Race and craps.  Probability should be fun.  Make it so!

Let’s Play Plinko! – I have used Plinko as an introduction for binomial distributions for years, but in this presentation from last summer’s Siemens STEM Academy, tech tools like PollEverywhere and Google Drive are used to increase interaction.

Composite Functions and ESP – Use this activity with middle-schools and see if they can develop the pattern.  For high school, have students write and justify their own ESP puzzles.  Also features Doceri, another favorite new tool of mine, for iPad.

Categories
Statistics

Shuffle Up and Deal, and Deal, and Deal….

Take a look at the video below, where Stephen Fry, host of the British panel show QI, alleges to do something never done before:

EDIT:  Seems as though the YouTube folk removed the video clip.  Try this link instead, and let’s hope it lasts:

QI Card Shuffling Clip

What a great “hook” for a probability or counting principles unit. Some thoughts about how to use this in your class.

1.  The result given in the video can be expressed as

If we were to shuffle the cards once every second, with each arrangement occurring once, how long would it take for use to go through every possible arrangement?  A neat example of something “big”, which is accessible and easy to discuss.

2.  The online poker site PokerStars is celebrating it’s 10th anniversary, and is offering a prize to the players who participate in their 100 billionth hand (assumed to occur around the 10th anniversary).  At this rate, how long should it take PokerStars to go through all possible arrangements?

3.  As an extension, challenge your class to find the number of possible arrangements of a deck of Pinochle cards. Cards The main differences with a Pincohle deck are that there are only 48 cards, and each card (like the 9 of diamonds) appears twice in the deck.  This problem introduce the idea of permutations with duplicate items.  In this case, we start with 48!, but then must divide out the double-count which occur with the repeat items.  We divide by two for each instance of a repeat item, and the number of permutations is given by:

4.  Let’s evaluate Mr. Fry’s conjecture:

Were you to imagine if every star in our galaxy had a trillion planets, each with a trillion people living on them, and each of these people had a trillion packs of cards, and somehow they managed to shuffle them all a thousand times a second and they had been doing that since the Big Bang, they would just now begin to repeat shuffles

To summarize, we are looking at this many shuffles per second:

Dividing by the number of possible shuffles yields:

The number of seconds in each year is given by:

Which implies we would have to shuffle for this many years:


Great exercises in laws of exponents for your students.  Share your thoughts and ideas about this fascinating video!